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Sort of a follow-up question to Why did the Council of Elrond debate hiding or sending the Ring away, if Sauron wins eventually in that scenario?

If Sauron wins eventually even without finding the Ring, then it seems the situation was already critical by the time Frodo brought the Ring to Rivendell, and would be even more critical if Frodo had not showed up. In that sense, it was a major stroke of good fortune for Frodo to show up when he did - it gives them the option to send it to Mt. Doom.

From the answer to the question above, even though many of the attendees at the Council of Elrond didn't know how bad the military situation was, Elrond/Gandalf (and maybe Aragorn) did know. Why weren't they in panic mode then? One might've expected Frodo not to have arrived at an idyllic Rivendell, but one that was preparing for war - either by preparing help for Gondor, sending envoys to warn Erebor and other potential allies & ask for help, or commission searches for the Ring, etc., before Frodo ever arrived.

Rand al'Thor
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Allure
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  • They didn't have any help to offer Gondor. 2. Erebor didn't need their warnings, Mordor was already sending them messengers. 3. There was nobody in a position to help that wasn't already doing what they could. 4. They didn't want to discuss the Ring too openly. It would be a disaster if people generally were looking for the Ring; you'd have more Saruman situations.
  • – Shamshiel Feb 03 '23 at 11:15
  • In that case, why not prepare to evacuate for dear life? – Allure Feb 03 '23 at 11:36
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    even the Hobbits have noticed that Elves are evacuating Middle Earth in increasing numbers. But not everyone can and not all the Elves are ready to give up and leave everyone else on their own. – Shamshiel Feb 03 '23 at 12:48
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    they also note at the Council that the way West would be impossible if Sauron's naval forces overrun the Havens, which is likely to happen – alexg Feb 03 '23 at 14:38
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    The Elves strategy was to run away to Valinor, leaving the Men and Dwarves in an impossible situation they helped create. And they would have the protection of the Two Elven rings to help shield them while they did so, as long as the One remained lost. So they were sad, but not panicky. The Men and Dwarves were screwed. – RC_23 Feb 03 '23 at 16:39
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    In many ways, the good guys' military position is worse at the start of the Hobbit than it is at the start of LOTR, and Gandalf and Elrond encouraging the quest of Erebor is kind of a panic move. – Daniel Hatton Feb 04 '23 at 00:16
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    "Council of Sauron". That's almost too awesome to edit. :) – Deepak Feb 05 '23 at 15:25
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    You panic when you run short on time which means very different thing for something long-lived than short-lived. – DKNguyen Feb 05 '23 at 22:10