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Recently, someone analyzed computer science professors at top universities and found that over half of the professors at the top 51 universities graduated from a top 10 university. Others have also brought this up. From my personal observations, most schools do hire graduates from better-ranked schools.

  1. Is this because of the competitive job market? We have so many good applicants, we have to narrow it down some how!
  2. Or is it simply that these schools produce the most PhDs?
  3. Has this always been the case?
  4. How rare are exceptions to this? I know of a few people who graduated from a top 75 school and got hired at a top 50 school. But what about bigger gaps? The top 10 schools seem to just swap graduates, do they ever hire from a 50+ ranked school?

Update 2018: I have accepted a tenure-track position at a top 75 department at an R1 university immediately after graduating from an unranked department at an R2 university. It does happen!

This may or may not generalize to other fields and countries.

Azor Ahai -him-
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Austin Henley
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    It is related to the quality of papers published, but better ranked universities do provide a better environment for high quality publication. – bingung Jul 07 '14 at 03:31
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    "I think this question can generalize to any field and country." - can it be generalized like that? e.g. do university rankings (at least those considering whole universities across all subjects rather than particular specialities of single departments) receive an equally high attention everywhere as in the U.S.? – O. R. Mapper Jul 07 '14 at 07:46
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    @O.R.Mapper: the trend need not be due to any attention being paid to university rankings by employers. At any given rank, there are loads more students graduating than there are teaching positions opening up. So assuming that (a) top students tend to go to top unis and (b) top ex-students want teaching positions, one would expect them to apply to a wider range of unis and again beat the same people who they beat a few years ago for positions to study :-) The big question is whether the observed effect (>50%) is similar elsewhere, or if CS in the USA is somehow special. – Steve Jessop Jul 07 '14 at 15:11
  • @SteveJessop: In that case, do the assumptions apply? Where university rankings are not paid much attention to, factors such as proximity to where one lives, amenities in the city of the university or simply the availability of a particular subject of studies (it seems that almost every university tries to offer one or two unique things that are available hardly anywhere else) can easily be primary factors in choosing a university. So (a) is not necessarily true, which in turn means that (b) cannot be taken for granted, either. – O. R. Mapper Jul 07 '14 at 15:15
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    True, but another way to look at this is, "why is that someone good enough and motivated enough to get a post as a professor at a top-51 university has a 50% chance of having studied at a top-10 university?". Answer might just be "because >50% of them were good enough and they wanted to". Of course we expect that there's also an influence from the brand value of your degree in a job interview. But yes my mechanism would not apply if there's essentially no correlation between being a strong academic, and choosing a top university to study. – Steve Jessop Jul 07 '14 at 15:20
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    My professor got his PhD in Chemistry from Florida and went straight from there to Harvard. Maybe this is an outlier, but it is still evidence to the contrary. – Jonathan E. Landrum Jul 07 '14 at 20:52
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    @JonathanLandrum The question states that half of the professors graduated from the top ten, so your mentioning is just expected that the other half did not, the issue is on the high relative amount. – emcor Jul 08 '14 at 10:16
  • All other qualifications being equal (publication throughput, grants/fellowships), it's not what you know but who you know that will determine this. – Paul Dec 19 '14 at 23:52
  • Quick reminder: One of the secrets of top universities is that they select and admit the students who would get a good education at any decent school even if they had to beat it out of their department. The best schools will focus MUCH more on the individual, what they've learned, and what they've done with it rather than on where they studied. But since the best people are more likely to have gotten into the best schools, those schools are going to be overrepresented in the results of that selection. Nothing arcane here, just variables with some correlation between them. – keshlam Dec 22 '14 at 01:22
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    Congratulations!! – JeffE Jul 11 '18 at 23:54

7 Answers7

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People are occasionally hired by far more prestigious universities than the ones they studied at. For example, there's a tenured professor in the Princeton math department (unambiguously among the top 5 departments in the U.S.) who received his Ph.D. in 1999 from Kansas State (which wouldn't necessarily make the top 75). Where your degree is from is a negligible factor in hiring decisions compared with how outstanding your research is.

On the other hand, research excellence is highly correlated with which doctoral program you attend. The top programs tend to get the students with the most talent, determination, and preparation, and they usually provide the most support for these students to succeed. Of course this is just a statistical assertion, not an absolute law. However, in mathematics in the U.S., the number of students graduating each year from rank 50-75 universities whose job applications are as impressive in research as those of the average top-5 graduate is tiny. If you're hiring based on research promise, then even the most unbiased search should lead to hiring mainly people from higher-end schools. Of course there's presumably some prejudice as well, but I don't think it's a substantial factor at research universities. (I have no first-hand experience with hiring at teaching-oriented schools. In particular, I don't know how overrepresented graduates of prestigious universities are or which factors are responsible for it.)

Anonymous Mathematician
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    Spot on. When looking for top talent, look to the places with the reputation for producing it. Also, look for the strength of the resume of the applicant. Amazingly enough, strength of resume often correlates with the quality of the program from which the candidate graduated. Nonetheless, one must always look for the "diamond in the rough." – Chris Leary Jul 08 '14 at 00:30
  • Can you quantify your claim to "highly correlated" with a journal publication with that yields a specific correlation coefficient and its corresponding p-value? Also is the relationship causal? – Paul Dec 19 '14 at 23:53
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    @paul, at a certain point, the usual journal-publication-count stats are not of great interest... – paul garrett Dec 19 '14 at 23:59
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    @paulgarrett: That's not what I'm referring to. I'm interested in the correlation between research excellence and pedigree. Everyone speaks of it as if it were obvious, but what are the actual statistics on it? The statistician within me is dying to know! :) – Paul Dec 20 '14 at 00:52
  • I don't know of a principled study, and it would be difficult to carry one out. The issue is how to measure research excellence. Objective measures like counting publications or citations are mediocre at best. Expert opinion is the only half-decent measure we have, but it can't address the possibility of bias. There's certainly data about people's beliefs: for example, the placement data cited in the original question shows that hiring committee judgments correlate with pedigree. That's pretty compelling if you trust their judgment, but it leaves open the possibility that this is just bias. – Anonymous Mathematician Dec 20 '14 at 04:32
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The top ranked doctoral programs get the cream of each year's incoming graduate application pool because they can offer access to the top professors, top research libraries, and have tons of money to spend on tuition waivers, stipends, summer research money, etc. They can effectively outbid other programs and choose the people who seem to have the most promise (or are advantaged in having Famous People write for them, etc. etc.).

Graduate students at top ranked programs don't have to spend as much time doing non-research activities such as teaching and waitressing to pay the bills as they're getting most of their living expenses covered. They instead can focus on their research and publications, resulting in a flush CV by the time they graduate.

This leads grant agencies and hiring departments to assume that the graduating students at the top ranked programs are indeed the best of the best. They certainly have the imprimatur of the Best Programs® and Famous People® are writing them letters of support.

This is almost certainly a flawed assumption, but when faced with 200 grant or job applications, it's a shortcut many search committees make. Ideally they should just look at the candidate's qualifications without considering the school or the Famous People® who wrote for them.

But even if we redacted program names in applications, the very fact that having gone to a top-ranked place gives people a huge material difference/advantage in resources available while they are in the program, and this is evident in their CVs which are long with lots of publications and talks in the Right Places®.

In a totally fair world, we'd do what google does and throw away (or at the very least redact) CVs and letters and instead interview people one by one. But try to convince a provost and a search committee to go along with that. It would take too long and cost too much.

Interestingly, as fewer and fewer people get jobs straight out of graduate school and everyone now has to have a post-doc or visiting position, this has served as a slightly equalizing factor as hiring schools can look at performance there as a better indication of inherent ability.

Note 1: People can and do move from lower ranked to higher ranked schools, but usually they don't do it in their first job. Rather, from a low-ranked they get hired at a mid-ranked school, then through publishing and publishing and publishing, they get hired away into a top-ranked (perhaps going through one or two job hops along the way).

Note 2: Top ranked universities (as well as everyone else) have overproduced so many PhDs in pretty much every field that there is market saturation. Even graduates at top-ranked programs are having trouble finding jobs -- even as adjuncts and NTT faculty. In a true market economy, the suppliers would be forced to lower production in the face of oversupply, but academia is not a market economy and having doctoral students is seen as a source of prestige for both faculty and institutions alike. Unless we can increase demand (by forcing schools to hire TT faculty instead of contingents, or other means) or reduce supply, we're all screwed but the folks graduating from mid- and lower-tier schools are screwed the most.

RoboKaren
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    I rather strongly disagree with the suggestion that one-on-one grillings are a great way to identify excellent researchers. – Noah Snyder Jul 07 '14 at 05:55
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  • Can you suggest another way that is free from the bias of going to a top tier school. 2) have you never given a job talk?
  • – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 07:14
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  • Yes: put all the candidates' names into a hat, pick one, and offer her a job. That a hiring method is free of the "bias of going to a top tier school" does not imply that it is a good one. 2) You can see from Noah Snyder's profile that he has a tenure track job at the University of Indiana. Your equation of job talks with one-on-one grillings is from my experience a non sequitur. For that matter, I find the idea of throwing away candidates' CVs rather silly: trying to learn about someone's research accomplishments primarily by "grilling" is superficial at best.
  • – Pete L. Clark Jul 07 '14 at 13:46
  • My point was that finding a mechanism free from bias and that looked only at aptitude and ignored graduating school is impossible. That being said, your CV and letters and other things in your portfolio get you the the job talk, how you do at the job talk gets you the job. Job talks to me are a fair evaluative mechanism where KSU candidates are relatively equal to MIT. – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 14:11
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    "My point was that finding a mechanism free from bias and that looked only at aptitude and ignored graduating school is impossible." I agree with that, but I did not see it in the passage "In a totally fair world, we'd do what google does and throw away CVs and letters and instead grill people one on one. But try to convince a provost to do that." – Pete L. Clark Jul 07 '14 at 14:22
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    In a totally fair world, we'd toss out the CVs and letters and let everyone give a job talk. But provosts only let us invite 3-4 candidates to do so. – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 14:23
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    "[h]ow you do at the job talk gets you the job." That's an oversimplification. It takes an especially good or (more likely) especially poor talk to change people's minds. "Job talks to me are a fair evaluative mechanism where KSU candidates are relatively equal to MIT." I don't see what is inherently more fair in evaluating someone's work in an hour long talk than spending hours or days evaluating their written work. I also find the idea that people who are from KSU will come off as well as people from MIT slightly naive. MIT people will probably do better under "grilling", for instance. – Pete L. Clark Jul 07 '14 at 14:29
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    Any viable faculty candidate in my department has letters from Famous People® most of whom are not at the applicant's institution. A stellar computer science researcher at the University of Southern North Dakota at Hoople will likely have a recommendation letter from Prof. Turinga Wardwinner at MIT or Berkeley. Conversely, a candidate from MIT who only has letters from Famous People® at MIT almost certainly will not be invited for an interview, even if the letters are glowing. – JeffE Jul 07 '14 at 16:48
  • @Pete - Of course it's a simplification. Every job search is different and every university has its quirk. My point is the OP wanted a system where there was no prejudice based on the alma mater of a candidate. As my response (and others) have shown, the quality and amount of research you get done while in a doctoral program is positively correlated with the rank of the graduating institution for factors other than aptitude of the candidate. – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 17:57
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    Someone with a crap CV and no publications could have been at an institution where they had no resources, no mentoring, and had to work 60 hours to put food on the table. Theoretically, they could be brilliant if only given the chance. Unfortunately, search committees don't have the ability to easily find these diamonds in the rough since they only have the CV/letters to rely on. The current solution is that these folks (people who got buried at a low-tier school) get a position at a low-mid-tier where they can do enough research to get noticed and work their way up. – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 18:01
  • And I hope we're all talking about the same thing here: the hiring of junior colleagues who might have very few research publications under their belt (especially as lead author) and aren't yet well-known. I.e., not the rising superstars. – RoboKaren Jul 07 '14 at 18:03
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    "My point is the OP wanted a system where there was no prejudice based on the alma mater of a candidate." Where did he say that? My point was that your answer makes a very strong claim about fairness, but I think that the scenario you suggest (which is implausible for reasons of pure arithmetic, so I'm not sure why you're blaming "provosts") could be less fair than the current system. If you're simply trying to reach an absurd conclusion given your assumptions (which were not stated by the OP and haven't been made explicit by you), could you please clue us into that? – Pete L. Clark Jul 07 '14 at 19:21
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    This is one of the most absurd suggestions I have ever heard. Just like it does for google, it would result in you hiring a long stream of aggressive, overly-confident white men. The goal in hiring tenure-track faculty is not to figure out who the "smartest" person is (however poorly-defined that might be), but to find the person who will produce the best research over the next 20+ years. And the best predictor of future results is past results. The source of the PhD is irrelevant (and mostly ignored) -- it's the papers and letters of recommendation that really count. – Andy Putman Jul 08 '14 at 21:55
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    @AndyPutman Job talk dinners tend to do a good job of detecting these folks. At least in the social sciences, we expect candidates to both have solid research as well as being able to present the research in a way that is accessible to different audiences. I don't know how many CV stuffers we've tanked at my school because they couldn't give a good job talk or were socially inept at the job talk dinners. – RoboKaren Jul 08 '14 at 22:55
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    @RoboKaren : We use job talks and dinners to weed out e.g. psychopaths and other people who would be an utter disaster if we hire them. But once they reach a basic level of competence and reasonableness, we want to hire the strongest researchers we can. If someone is close enough to my research area that I can follow the technical aspects of their talk, then I almost certainly already know about their work and have read their papers; otherwise, I have to reply on the letters and my colleagues to evaluate their research and just use the talk to gauge how reasonable a colleague they would be. – Andy Putman Jul 09 '14 at 01:26
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    (and frankly I am glad that in math one is allowed to be socially inept and unpolished as long as you are basically a reasonable person) – Andy Putman Jul 09 '14 at 01:28
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    I think there might be a disciplinary difference here. Perhaps faculty in math don't have to be inspiring and dynamic to bring in students. In my discipline in the social sciences, this is unfortunately a necessary skill as we aren't a required subject for graduation. – RoboKaren Jul 09 '14 at 02:47
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    I should also add (without the snark tags) that I am speaking of the ideal and not the real. In reality, my dept. relies much too much on letters from Famous People®, is swayed by CVs overflowing with research publications, and it does take a pretty bad job talk and social ineptness at the after-dinner to tank you. That being said, when I look back at the candidates we got vs. the candidates we dropped, I have to say that I'm not sure we got The Best®. We might have gotten the ones with the best CVs and who will be (or are) Famous People®, but perhaps not the best colleagues and teachers. – RoboKaren Jul 09 '14 at 02:52
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    I think I took this post as an opportunity to vent some of this frustration at the selection process. Someone should post a question "How can a department select the best candidate to hire?" -- but of course it'd get shot down for being opinion based. Nonetheless, I think the system in place at most schools is optimized for a certain type of candidate but we could do better if we broadened our horizons more. – RoboKaren Jul 09 '14 at 02:54
  • I would be interested in hearing what programs or institutions you consider as having a policy closest to your ideal. How well have they done? – Superbest Dec 20 '14 at 00:36